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Tag: Public Sector & Privatisation

  • The Cumulative Costs of Wage Caps for NSW Essential Service Workers

    In this new report, Centre for Future Work Economist and Director Jim Stanford adds up the enormous and growing cost of this decade-long wage suppression for nurses, midwives, and other public sector workers in NSW.

    In any given year, the state’s wage cap reduces compensation below what would have been determined under normal free collective bargaining processes. When sustained over many years, however, the wage caps have an exponential effect in suppressing compensation levels. That’s because each year’s continued wage cap is applied against a lower starting wage base. Over time, the gap between capped and negotiated pay widens dramatically.

    The report estimates that compared to long-run pre-cap compensation trends, experienced nurses and midwives made $335 less per week in 2021-22 (or $17,500 less for the year) compared to pre-cap trends. On a cumulative basis, they have already lost $80,000 in compensation since the caps were introduced.

    But that pay suppression will continue to get worse if the caps are maintained. By 2023-24, on the basis of the government’s stated plan to suppress compensation growth to 3% and 3.5% (and restrain wages even lower, after adjusting for superannuation), the loss in wages will grow to $390 per week (or over $20,000 for the year), and the cumulative loss for someone who has worked throughout the wage cap period will reach $120,000.

    Worse yet, for three consecutive years, the NSW pay caps have reduced wage growth well below inflation, resulting in a significant erosion of real wages for nurses, midwives and other public sector workers. Public sector workers will see real purchasing power decline by 7.5% by end 2023-24 (on the basis of RBA inflation forecasts and the NSW government’s stated cap). That is equivalent to a loss of $6750 for a full-time experienced nurse or midwife.

    The economic pain experienced by public sector workers will not even stop when they retire. Because superannuation contributions are tied automatically to wages, nurses, midwives, and other public sector workers have lost thousands of dollars in superannuation contributions from their employers — and thousands more in foregone investment income on those contributions. That will translate into reduced superannuation balances and pension income after retirement. Already, an experienced nurse or midwife has had their pension income reduced by $1000 per year, and those losses will get larger the longer the pay caps are maintained. And because of the sustained suppression of their wages (and hence their superannuation savings), the goal of a decent stable retirement is increasingly out of reach for many NSW workers — especially for women, and especially for those who do not own their home. The report indicates that under existing capped wages, a nurse or midwife who is single, female, and rents their accommodation will accumulate less than half of the superannuation savings required for them to meet the ASFA comfortable retirement income threshold.

    In summary, the NSW’s ongoing suppression of pay for public sector workers, whose commitment has been essential to helping NSW residents through the pandemic, is arbitrary, anti-democratic, and economically damaging. The report recommends that the government abandon this policy, and instead engage in normal pay negotiations with public sector workers and their unions, on the basis of normal wage determinants.

    The post The Cumulative Costs of Wage Caps for Essential Service Workers in NSW appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Inflation: A Primer

    The Inflation Primer report investigates the history of Australian inflation and policy choices and provides a counter to the view that low inflation and the current inflation target is an unalloyed good. The period of inflation targeting has coincided with a strong shift of national income away from workers to company profits. It has also seen a tendency of the Reserve Bank to act decisively when inflation grows above the target and be much less active when, as we saw in the years prior to the pandemic, inflation slowed below the target range. The report also reveals that workers’ wages did not cause the current level of inflation and yet workers are being urged to accept historic falls in real wages in order bring inflation back within the Reserve Bank target.

    Our review of the causes of current inflation points to some clear policy conclusions, that should be kept in mind by the government, the Reserve Bank, and other stakeholders as Australia continues to adjust to these new inflationary challenges:

    1. Inflation targeting in Australia since 1993 has not been “neutral”. Inflation missed the target from below, far more often than from above. Moreover, that period of inflation targeting (especially the sustained periods when inflation fell below the target) was associated with a massive transfer of income and economic power from workers to businesses. As the Commonwealth government undertakes its review of the RBA’s mandate and operations, these broad political-economic dimensions of monetary policy must be considered carefully. Monetary policy has not been a technocratic exercise, intended to maximise public welfare in a general sense. It clearly reflects and continues to reflect, value judgments and priorities placed on how the costs and benefits of inflation management are distributed across society.
    2. There is no evidence at all that a tight labour market, rising wages, or labour costs more generally have anything to do with the surge in inflation since the COVID pandemic. To the contrary, the evidence is clear that wages have had a dampening impact on inflation in this period. Recent inflation is clearly associated with a further expansion of business profits in Australia, to their highest share ever. Attacking inflation by aiming deliberately to increase unemployment and restrain wage growth even further, is a “blame-the-victim” policy that will only make workers pay even more for a problem they clearly did not create.
    3. The current surge of inflation reflects a “perfect storm” of unique factors (mostly global in nature) sparked by the COVID pandemic: which has been, after all, the most dramatic and painful event in the world economy since WWII. It should hardly be surprising that after-shocks from those events will be felt for some time, and the surge in global inflation is clearly one of them. Responding to this unique and unprecedented challenge by simply reciting a monetary playbook formulated in a fundamentally different era (the inflation of the 1970s) is not just inappropriate. It will, if pursued, lead to a painful and unnecessary global recession that will almost certainly engulf Australia, too.

    For all these reasons, the Reserve Bank and the Commonwealth government need to take a more careful, balanced look at the nature, causes, and consequences of the upsurge in inflation since the pandemic, before leaping to conclusions that are unjustified – and imposing policy responses that do more harm than good.

    The post Inflation: A Primer appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Work in the Care Economy Vital for Future Well-Being

    Our Policy Director for Industrial and Social issues, Dr Fiona Macdonald, recently discussed these issues in a feature conversation with Richard Aedy on the ABC RN program, The Money. They discussed the size of the care workforce, the challenges faced by care providers and participants alike, and the need for government reform.

    The post Work in the Care Economy Vital for Future Well-Being appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Pandemic Workforce Crisis Requires TAFE Investment in Early Childhood Education: Report

    The research report launched today, ‘Educating for Care: Meeting Skills Shortages in an Expanding ECEC Industry’ has called for the sector to be treated as an ‘industry of national strategic importance’ with greater investment in TAFE to train staff.

    Key Findings:

    • The number of job vacancies in Early Childhood Education and Care sector have doubled since the pandemic with providers reporting 6000 job vacancies per month
    • Australia is failing to train & retain its ECEC workforce, problem is set to worsen as 41,500 new graduates will be required per year by 2030
    • Beyond direct benefits, ECEC expansion boosts productivity across the economy by unlocking labour market participation of parents
    • Early childhood education enhances the long-term potential of Australia’s economy by providing children with education opportunities to expand lifetime learning, employment, & incomes
    • Among the 10 key recommendations, is that ECEC should be viewed as an ‘industry of national strategic importance’, similar to the manufacturing industry

    “Workforce shortages have been a problematic reality of the pandemic, both within the Early Childhood Education sector and across the broader economy,” said Dr. Mark Dean, Distinguished Research Fellow at the Carmichael Centre, and report author.

    “The early childhood education and care workforce crisis is set to get worse. This represents a huge opportunity: greater investment in TAFE training and secure jobs can unlock economic growth and deliver better outcomes for our children and the Australian economy.

    “It would be foolish to overlook the full and proper funding of Australia’s state- and territory-based TAFE systems in our post-pandemic economic reconstruction, rather than seeing it as an essential component.

    “To tackle the problem, education and care for preschool-aged children should be provided by well-trained and experienced workers. Like any industry, attracting and retaining quality early childhood education staff will require quality, secure jobs.

    “To meet the workforce needs of expanded ECEC coverage, ramping up high-quality vocational education for ECEC workers must be an immediate and highest-order priority.

    “A vital prerequisite in this effort is establishing a stable, professional, well-supported ECEC workforce, by providing extensive education and training of ECEC workers, and their entry to secure, well-paid career pathways.”

    The post Pandemic Workforce Crisis Requires TAFE Investment in Early Childhood Education to Boost Economy: Report appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Educating for Care: ECEC Skills Shortages

    Building a stronger, more accessible, and high-quality ECEC system is not just a top-ranking social priority for several reasons:

    • The ECEC sector supports hundreds of thousands of jobs.
    • It directly creates billions of dollars of value-added in the Australian economy.
    • It generates further demand for other sectors – both upstream, in its own supply chain, and downstream in consumer goods and services industries that depend on the buying power of ECEC workers.
    • It facilitates work and production throughout the rest of Australia’s economy, by allowing parents to work – although that goal would be much better achieved if Australia had a more comprehensive, universal, and public ECEC system.
    • ECEC enhances the long-term potential of Australia’s economy, and all of society, by providing young children with high-quality education opportunities – that are proven to expand their lifetime learning, employment, and income outcomes, and enrich their families and communities.

    Australia’s current market-based system for ECEC funding and service provision is incapable of meeting the needs of parents, families, and the broader economy. A drift to the market-based provision of ECEC services has undermined public provision in Australia and diminished the quality of service and the conditions under which it is delivered.

    From this crisis-ridden starting point, the staff recruitment and retention challenge in ECEC will become much worse, if in fact Australia were to make a long-term commitment to expand ECEC provision to adequately meet the needs of working parents (and the entire economy).

    Much public debate over the viability of expanded ECEC, putting Australia on a par with other leading industrial nations, has focused on the fiscal dimensions of that undertaking: how would we pay for it?

    If Australia is going to expand its ECEC system in line with the needs of working parents and employers, increasing funding to the Nordic-level average for ECEC must be considered, and ramping up high-quality vocational education for ECEC workers must be an immediate and highest-order priority to meet the workforce needs of expanded ECEC coverage.

    A long-term commitment to improved funding and service delivery, ideally aimed at matching Nordic-level coverage and quality benchmarks, would require a larger, better-trained, better-supported, and better-compensated workforce. A pro-active strategy for sustainable workforce development should be developed and implemented with input from all stakeholders, including ECEC providers, unions, VET institutions (particularly TAFEs), and government.

    The best possible education and care to Australian preschool-aged children should also be provided by the most highly trained and experienced workers – employed in delivering a public or not-for-profit service, and well-trained in public vocational education delivered through the TAFEs.

    In this sense, developing a universal public ECEC system is a natural analogue to developing a universal public VET system: building a world-class public ECEC system, staffed with top-notch graduates from public TAFEs, provides a dual source of economic and social benefit.

    Meeting the goals of high-quality ECEC services thus means recognising that the full and proper funding of Australia’s state- and territory-based TAFE systems must be an essential component of post-pandemic economic reconstruction.

    An active industry policy for ECEC will set the direction for the de-marketisation of ECEC services, with higher levels of government funding facilitating a vastly expanded system of ECEC in Australia.

    A vital prerequisite in this effort is establishing a stable, professional, well-supported ECEC workforce, by providing extensive education and training of ECEC workers, and their entry to secure, well-paid career pathways. This can only be achieved by fully funding the training and development of a regular pipeline of trained ECEC workers, led first and foremost by greater investment in publicly funded, TAFE-delivered education and skills, new mandates for workforce qualifications and staffing levels, and health and wellbeing quality frameworks that neutralise cost-competitive approaches to delivering ECEC services.

    The post Educating for Care appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Free Undergraduate Education to Save Universities and Jobs: Report

    The next federal government can save universities, make undergraduate education free for all Australians and employ tens of thousands of staff securely by lifting the public spend on higher education to just one per cent of GDP, according to a landmark new report.

    The Australia Institute’s Centre For Future Work report shows, if the federal government brings its annual investment in higher education into line with the OECD average, we could fix the destruction inflicted by the COVID pandemic and make universities more accessible and affordable for all Australians.

    Following decades of funding cuts, government inaction and the pandemic, more than 40,000 jobs were lost in public tertiary education in the 12 months to May 2021, 35,000 of those at public universities.

    National Tertiary Education Union (NTEU) National President Dr Alison Barnes said “Higher education needs to be made a priority in this election. The future of hundreds of thousands of staff and millions of students depends on it.

    “The state of the sector now is deeply concerning. It is the consequence of the Morrison Government’s decision to exclude universities from JobKeeper, hike student fees, cut funding per student place, entrench casualisation and decimate curiosity-driven research funding.

    “Thousands of jobs have been lost at public universities and the staff who are left are being kept on casual or short-term contracts. Those staff can’t plan for their future and often have their pay stolen by money-hungry universities who have built their business models on wage theft and insecure work.

    “The next Australian Government could remove the financial barrier to higher education, employ more than 26,000 staff in secure full-time jobs, restore research funding, reduce the over-reliance on casual staff and establish a new higher education agency to improve governance.

    “Free undergraduate education would be transformative for current and future students who are now facing more expensive degrees, mounting student debt and even the threat of being kicked off HECS if they don’t pass their courses.”

    Australia Institute economist and the report’s author Eliza Littleton said “As devastating as the pandemic has been for Australia’s universities, the sector was being distorted and damaged by corporatisation, casualisation, and privatisation long before COVID arrived.

    “Australia needs an ambitious national vision for higher education that re-aligns the sector with its public service mission, and with the needs of students, staff, and wider society.

    “Australia can choose a future for higher education that facilitates a stronger economy, social mobility and enhanced democracy – all the while generating a source of high-quality careers for many thousands of Australians.”

    The report’s recommendations include:

    • Free undergraduate education for Australian students
    • Adequate public funding for universities
    • Fully-funded research
    • Measures to ensure secure employment
    • Improved higher education governance
    • Caps on vice-chancellor salaries; and
    • Transparency in data collection.

    The post Free Undergraduate Education to Save Universities and Jobs: Report appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • At the Crossroads: Post-COVID future of Australian universities

    The report analyses the current worrying state of Australia’s higher education sector based on current funding and policy trends, and provides an ambitious national vision for higher education that re-aligns the sector with its public service mission.

    At the Crossroads, authored by Eliza Littleton, identifies seven key policy initiatives including free higher education for domestic students, that if implemented, would put Australia’s public universities on a path toward full revitalisation.

    Key Findings:

    • Delivering free undergraduate education for domestic students, an expanded public research program, thousands of secure jobs, and a new national governance body for the sector would cost an estimated $6.9 billion per year in additional higher education funding. This funding would generate almost 27,000 additional jobs (FTE) in higher education through easing workload pressures, additional researching funding and staffing a new independent higher education agency.
    • Since 2013, Federal Government funding for higher education has declined in real terms by 2.6%, despite a 23% increase in student enrolments.
    • Federal Government funding as a percentage of university revenue has more than halved since the 1980s, declining from 80% in 1989 to only 33% in 2019. In Budget 2022-23, the government forecasts a cut to real university funding of 3.4% over the forward estimates.
    • Universities responded to the pandemic shock with dramatic job cuts. In the 12 months to May 2021, 40,000 jobs in public tertiary education were lost, with 88% of these losses estimated within public universities.
    • The Federal Government’s Job-Ready Graduates reforms result in a reduction in government spending on student learning of $1 billion per year, while student contributions increase $414 million per year.
    • In the face of COVID shocks, sustained international student fee intake combined with reduced teaching costs through online distance education and job cuts have primed universities for healthy surpluses this financial year. Despite that, universities are continuing with measures that further downsize and casualise their workforces,
    • Reduced government spending and university deregulation has led to teaching and learning crisis. Rampant casualisation, short-term contract use, excessive workloads, and wage theft characterise employment arrangements in Australia’s universities.

    The report recommends several measures to revitalise Australia’s public universities:

    • Free undergraduate education for domestic students
    • Adequate public funding for universities
    • Fully-funded research
    • Measures to provide secure employment
    • Improved higher education governance
    • Caps on vice-chancellor salaries; and
    • Transparency in data collection.

    The post At the Crossroads appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • Universal Public Early Child Education in Australia Would Pay For Itself: Research Report

    Making Early Child Education and Care (ECEC) universal in Australia would pay for itself by unlocking women’s labour supply, boosting GDP and growing government revenues by billions, according to new research from the Australia Institute’s Centre for Future Work.

    With cost of living shaping up as a key election issue, policy experts say boosted funding would ease the pressure on families, while boosting the economy.

    Key Findings:

    • ECEC funding is lower in Australia than other countries, yet private revenues (mostly paid by parents) are higher. Australian parents currently pay more but get less
    • Matching the ECEC funding levels of Nordic countries would generate 292,000 new jobs, directly, downstream and via increased women’s employment
    • If Australian women had the same participation and full-time employment rates as Nordic women Australia’s GDP would be some $132b per year higher
    • Government funding for public and non-profit childcare generates one-third more employment and GDP than funding for private for-profit firms
    • The economic activity supported by expanded funding for public and non-profit ECEC centres would boostAustralian GDP by a further $35b
    • The combined boost to GDP would create an additional $48b in government revenue, more than the cost of providing the childcare services in the first place

    “This is a program that literally pays for itself,” said report author and Senior Economist at the Australia Institute, Matt Grudnoff.

    “This would create tens of billions of dollars in new GDP, hundreds of thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in government revenue – above and beyond the cost of providing those services in the first place.

    “A high-quality, accessible, and non-profit Early Child Education and Care system would facilitate the expanded paid work effort of hundreds of thousands of Australian women, helping close the gender pay gap.

    “At a moment when employers are complaining about a labour shortage, there is an obvious answer: support hundreds of thousands of women to increase their labour supply.

    “Expanded ECEC must be done right, to maximise the potential economic and social benefits. Funding must be directed to not-for-profit and public centres which put top priority on quality – not subsidising the profits of private investors who see children as a profit centre, not a social priority.

    “Childcare is a significant cost-of-living issue for many families with many spending more on childcare than groceries or utilities.

    “This is one of the smartest investments we could make for parents, for employment and for our society. It’s a no-brainer.”

    The report, The Economic Benefits of High-Quality Universal Early Child Education compared ECEC funding levels in Australia to other OECD countries.

    The below table summarises the combined impacts on GDP and tax revenues (for all levels of government) from the increase in labour force participation and full-time work by women, and the direct and indirect jobs associated with ECEC supply.

    The post Universal Public Early Child Education in Australia Would Pay For Itself: Research Report appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • The Economic Benefits of High-Quality Universal Early Child Education

    A universal ECEC system should be viewed as a fundamental goal for the future Australian economy. Achieving the superior quality and economic benefits of the Nordic systems cannot be done instantly, of course. But our ECEC policies should be reoriented and expanded, with a universal, publicly-delivered, high-quality, and affordable system akin to the Nordic benchmark as its end goal. That will require more substantial investments in ECEC funding, and its reallocation toward the not-for-profit and public facilities which deliver the best quality, and the largest economic benefits.

    The post The Economic Benefits of High-Quality Universal Early Child Education appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.

  • An Avoidable Catastrophe: Pandemic Job Losses in Higher Education

    Now, 18 months after the borders were first closed, things are getting worse for universities, not better. New research from the Centre for Future Work confirms that tertiary education has been hit by bigger job losses this year than any other non-agricultural sector in the economy.

    The new report, An Avoidable Catastrophe: Pandemic Job Losses in Higher Education and their Consequences, was prepared by Eliza Littleton and Jim Stanford. It shows that total employment in tertiary education in the first half of 2021 fell by 40,000 positions compared to year-earlier levels. Most of the job losses were permanent, full-time positions — and all of them were at public institutions.

    During the first months of the pandemic, casual staff were the first university employees to lose their jobs as universities grappled with the sudden loss of international student fees and other impacts of the pandemic. This year, however, the job losses are both much larger, and targeted at permanent full-time staff. This indicates that universities are undertaking a more permanent downsizing and casualisation of their workforce, on expectation that border closures are likely to persist — and the Commonwealth government will continue to refuse targeted assistance necessary to preserve the universities’ instruction and research capacities.

    The report urges the Commonwealth government to provide special temporary assistance to universities until borders can reopen and revenues return to normal. Targeted support of $3.75 billion would allow the universities to replace and preserve the jobs cut so far this year. Preserving the functions of Australian universities is especially vital at a moment when the economy is undergoing lasting structural changes as a consequence of the pandemic, and hence more students will need higher education opportunities to support the resulting employment transitions. Moreover, the pandemic also reinforced that the need for top-quality research (including in health sciences) is more urgent than ever.

    The post An Avoidable Catastrophe appeared first on The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work.